Bandung, 13 January 2026 — An International Relations lecturer at Parahyangan Catholic University, Dr. phil. Aknolt Kristian Pakpahan, M.A., shared his views in an interview with Tribun Jabar regarding the escalating tensions between the United States and Iran. He argued that it is unlikely for U.S.–Iran relations to develop into a global war. Instead, the escalation is more likely to take the form of a regional conflict with global repercussions, as higher levels of warfare would entail enormous political, economic, and security costs.
Briefly, Aknolt explained that U.S.–Iran tensions could significantly affect global political and energy stability, particularly through the risk of disruptions to oil supplies that may trigger rising energy prices and global inflationary pressures. For Indonesia, while the impact may not be direct, the situation still affects energy security, economic stability, and public purchasing power. This serves as a reminder of the importance of energy diversification and accelerating the transition toward renewable energy sources.
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